Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 0.395336 0.507844 0.629602 0.769468 0.924156 1.088657 1.275536
2025-09-21 0.218369 0.360858 0.532918 0.747274 0.999980 1.282577 1.617212
2025-09-28 0.157168 0.315210 0.521218 0.790790 1.119868 1.497333 1.953194
2025-10-05 0.118099 0.286801 0.522559 0.843729 1.246400 1.716918 2.293100
2025-10-12 0.086749 0.259396 0.518059 0.883540 1.352376 1.908658 2.597509
2025-10-19 0.069556 0.249304 0.534081 0.947450 1.486335 2.132465 2.938590
2025-10-26 0.052686 0.234015 0.539332 0.994746 1.597819 2.328137 3.245694
2025-11-02 0.033134 0.204838 0.519227 1.004483 1.659308 2.461602 3.477764
2025-11-09 0.012125 0.155020 0.458398 0.951886 1.636232 2.488492 3.579946
2025-11-16 0.001501 0.110316 0.396199 0.890724 1.597115 2.491928 3.650841
2025-11-23 NaN 0.085655 0.364279 0.870710 1.610324 2.558802 3.797020
2025-11-30 NaN 0.073397 0.354309 0.883010 1.666651 2.679648 4.008841
2025-12-07 NaN 0.056607 0.331663 0.875789 1.698618 2.773576 4.193472
2025-12-14 NaN 0.039533 0.302128 0.854846 1.710371 2.841456 4.346553
2025-12-21 NaN 0.037722 0.312403 0.900724 1.817052 3.032323 4.652542
2025-12-28 NaN 0.038076 0.328961 0.957575 1.939749 3.244392 4.985429
2026-01-04 NaN 0.035924 0.337357 1.000037 2.041616 3.429256 5.284375
2026-01-11 NaN 0.038327 0.360274 1.068195 2.180956 3.663480 5.645488
2026-01-18 NaN 0.037655 0.373108 1.118531 2.294457 3.863906 5.964375
2026-01-25 NaN 0.030790 0.363771 1.128888 2.349390 3.987201 6.186341
2026-02-01 NaN 0.016679 0.319423 1.072916 2.305165 3.978458 6.241144
2026-02-08 NaN 0.006337 0.273035 1.007716 2.244016 3.945010 6.262884
2026-02-15 NaN 0.002535 0.250904 0.986353 2.247063 3.996023 6.390611